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Who'll be top prospect: Buxton or Seager?

Dodgers shortstop could dethrone Twins outfielder in rankings Friday
January 28, 2016

Powerball numbers and Oscar nominations excited many people earlier this month, but Friday marks an even more important reveal for baseball fans.

Yes, it's time to find out who the Top 100 prospects in the game are, according to MLB Pipeline. The list will be unveiled in a one-hour special on MLB Network and MLB.com, starting at 9 p.m. ET.

In "The Year of the Prospect," the 2015 Top 100 kept changing as players such as the Cubs' Kris Bryant and the Astros' Carlos Correa made the leap to the Majors. But with them gone, many eager players stepped up and the cycle continued. As with any new list, there are plenty of question marks, so let's take a look at the storylines surrounding this year's crop.

Who's No. 1?

For the past 30 months, Byron Buxton has held on as baseball's top prospect. The Twins outfielder survived injuries, fought off the likes of Bryant and Correa, and made his first Major impression while remaining atop the list. But is it time for a changing of the guard?

Enter Corey Seager.

The Dodgers shortstop/third baseman stands to be Buxton's biggest competition for the top slot. The 22-year-old Minnesota prospect has more big league experience (129 at-bats to Seager's 98), but the 21-year-old has accumulated slightly better numbers. In a shorter time frame, Seager has six more hits, two more homers and 11 more RBIs in "The Show."

Either way, the pair's rankings won't matter for long after the start of the season. Buxton will lose his prospect status with just two Major League at-bats and Seager will follow when he tallies 33 with Los Angeles. It's just a question about whether the Minors' ranking king of the past two-and-a-half years will be dethroned sooner or later.

Arms race

After the top two gets decided -- or actually before since it's a countdown -- the next biggest topic revolves around the best arms. Pipeline said last week that Nationals' Lucas Giolito and Dodgers' Julio Urias were the top right-handed and left-handed prospects respectively, and the pair is likely to remain in the top four overall.

The 21-year-old Giolito remained a reliable arm in the Nationals system as he used his well-above-average fastball to post a 3.15 ERA with a career-high 131 strikeouts while earning his second trip to the All-Star Futures Game and advancing to Double-A Harrisburg. Giolito was invited to big league camp, but the Nationals are determined not to rush the right-hander's development.

On the other side of the rubber, Urias had a wild year. The Mexico native got off to a strong start with Double-A Tulsa before undergoing elective surgery to remove a benign mass on his left eye. After a couple rehab starts, Urias picked up where he left off with the Drillers, celebrated his 19th birthday and then got the call to Triple-A Oklahoma City. The southpaw will work on improving his control with arguably the best rotation in baseball when he heads to Dodgers camp next month before returning to the Minors to start the year.

Go shorty

Young shortstops have been quite buzzworthy lately. The final 2015 rankings put six shortstops in the top 12, and it's unlikely 2016 will discontinue that trend. Following Seager, J.P. Crawford (Phillies), Orlando Arcia (Brewers), Dansby Swanson (Braves), Trea Turner (Nationals) and Brendan Rodgers filled out the top six at the position.

That ranking slightly differed from the 2015 order with Rodgers and Arcia swapping spots, and it should be a pretty safe bet to say that change is reflected in the Top 100. The biggest reason was the surge by the Brewers infielder, who led the system with 157 hits for Double-A Biloxi. While Arcia was breaking out, Rodgers was getting acclimated to pro ball. After the Rockies selected the Florida native third overall in the 2015 Draft, the 19-year-old shined as the No. 2 hitter for Rookie-level Grand Junction.

Kelsie Heneghan is a contributor to MiLB.com. Follow her on Twitter @Kelsie_Heneghan.