Scout.com Releases Friars Top 20 Prospects List
Additionally, many others haven't been particularly complimentary.
So the $64,000 question is how bad (or good) is the San Diego system?
The only real way to judge a system's success or failure is by the performance of the major league team and how many of their draftees/or acquired minor league players helped the team to win by direct contributions or enabled it to acquire other players.
During this decade, the Padres have won two division titles, came within a pitch of winning a third and have generally fielded a competitive team, mainly on the basis of shrewd trades in which they dealt young players such as Oliver Perez, Xavier Nady and Jason Bay for more established veterans such as Brian Giles and Mike Cameron. Yet the team developed only a few players, Jake Peavy and Khalil Greene, that played significant roles on the team.
In 2005, Grady Fuson took over as the vice president of scouting and player development in which he attempted to develop a type of player around San Diego's PETCO Park, arguably the most difficult offensive park in the majors. Throw in the fact that the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers are in the division and San Diego plays over 100 games in some of the most pitcher friendly parks in all of baseball.
The organization believes the most likely scenario in which it wins a championship in its new park will occur when it has a pitching dominate team that forces teams to put the ball in play while offensively it has a patient, grind it out approach that scores runs on walks and extra-base hits.
Controlling the strike zone is the overall theme with command more important than velocity and on-base percentage more important than undisciplined power. Left-handed hitters have to be able to use the whole field, but the park is somewhat beneficial to right-handed hitters that can pull the ball. Finally, with runs at a premium, sub par defensive players can't survive in this model. San Diego is just beginning to see players such as Chase Headley, Nick Hundley and Will Venable develop - prodigies that Fuson hopes will be the type of players the Padres cultivate well in the future.
So are the Padres one of the five worst organizations in baseball?
It's really too early to tell the full affect of whether or not it has worked because most of the players drafted in 2005 or afterward have just begun or have not yet arrived on the major league level. Assigning individual organization rankings by a year is, at best, an educated guess but irrelevant in value. For example, anyone want to project what Jaff Decker's numbers will be in 2012?
What is important is determining if the team is going in the right direction, if an organization has established a set of principles, goals and is attempting to implement that philosophy. Under these criteria, it's difficult to argue that San Diego is not going in that direction.
We combined our individual rankings and provided expanded analysis on whom we believe are the best players in the organization. In addition to the basic information on the players we listed, the statistics we thought were most relevant, highlights from the past year, negatives, projections or ceilings and what could happen in 2008 ,are provided.
We didn't rank Nick Schmidt, Allen Dykstra or the highly regarded Adys Portillo, despite the Padres substantial investment in them, because they haven't really had significant, or any, playing time on the professional level. Any evaluation would be based on what we have read and heard, as compared to what we have seen and reported; so we will wait until we have more information.
Position: CF
Height/Weight: 6-foot-0, 185-pounds
Age: 21
Bats/Throws: L/L
How Acquired: San Diego, 2006 third-Round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| LE | .318 | .362 | .442 | 626 | 186 | 42/47 | 47 | 11 |
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| Hunter at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: His tremendous hand-eye coordination allows him to get to pitches others can't but also hinders his ability to be more selective and drive the ball. The Padres would like to see a little more selectivity, which they believe will give him more power. Improving upon his on 12-for-18 mark in the stolen base department is also on the agenda.
Projection: Medium - The player that we are seeing now is pretty much the player that he will become on the big league level. It's possible we could see more power as his body and approach at the plate mature.
MadFriars.com Assessment: He'll be very young for Double-A, but he should be able to put up better numbers again this year. His game offensively is about shooting the ball into the gaps - a strength given the unfriendly home park in San Antonio. There are parts of his game that need improvement, but he could become the ideal number two hitter with gap power while playing a flawless center. He has a game built for PETCO.
Position: Corner OF
Height/Weight: 5-foot-10, 190-pounds
Age: 19
Bats/Throws: L/L
How Acquired: San Diego, 2008 supplemental first-round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| AZL | .352 | .523 | .541 | 214 | 56 | 55/36 | 18 | 5 |
| EUG | .200 | .333 | .200 | 12 | 2 | 2/5 | - | - |
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| Decker at Instructs in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: He's going to have to work to not put on excess weight, but with his statistics there isn't a whole lot to pick on.
Projection: Medium - A solid approach gives him the foundation to continually improve in the power category. With a terrific eye, he is able to drive balls based on his choosing and that should mean a lot of doubles with plenty of pop. This kid should do damage at every level.
Madfriars.com Assessment: After growing up and spending all but three games of his major league career in Arizona, the weather and the competition will be a major adjustment. Decker practically defines the term "seamhead" and should thrive in his first full season on a very good Fort Wayne team.
Position: 1B
Height/Weight: 6-foot-6, 285-pounds
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego, 2004 42nd-Round (Draft and Follow)
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| SA | .325 | .404 | .514 | 543 | 160 | 51/90 | 48 | 20 |
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| Blanks at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: The Padres seem to believe he is limited to first base, which is a big problem when your best offensive player on the big club Adrian Gonzalez is entrenched there.
Projection: High - He has tremendous power potential and the past two years we have just begun to see what he has the capability to do. An all-around player, he is focused more on using the whole field but could become a monster in the power department, as he continues to mature.
Madfriars.com Assessment: For a man his size, he could really put up some staggering power numbers in the much more hitter friendly Pacific Coast League, which is either going to force San Diego to try him in the outfield or make a very difficult decision.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-5, 215-pounds
Age: 21
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego, 2006 11th-Round (Draft and Follow)
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS | |
| FW | 0-3 | 3.28 | 25 | 23/8 | 24 | 12 | 9 | |
| EUG | 2-0 | 1.04 | 17 | 23/3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | |
| AZL | 1-0 | 3.21 | 14 | 23/2 | 12 | 5 | 5 | |
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| Latos at Instructs in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: He lost a year of development, and there are some concerns about how seriously Latos takes his job.
Projection: High - If Latos had been healthy the full year, he probably would have been the number one prospect. He is the rare pitcher that has a chance to become a top of the rotation starter.
Madfriars.com Assessment: Chances are he'll begin the year in Fort Wayne or Lake Elsinore, depending on how well his secondary pitches develop. Either way, look for him to be at the A-ball level for a full year. His path to the big leagues is truly in his own hands.
Position: RF/LF
Height/Weight: 5-foot-11, 190-pounds
Age: 23
Bats/Throws: L/L
How Acquired: San Diego, 2007 supplemental first-round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| FW | .164 | .260 | .295 | 70 | 10 | 9/19 | 4 | 2 |
| LE | .332 | .428 | .589 | 351 | 101 | 47/52 | 38 | 20 |
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| Kulbacki at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: Although he was still recovering from a pulled hamstring, the first two months were pretty bad. Additionally, he started off slow in Eugene the year before after a long layoff and an adjustment period to wooden bats. Some question his defensive ability and if his overly patient approach will work against better competition.
Projection: Low - Kulbacki is the closest of the top five to a finished product. The big question is if he can perform over a full season instead of just part of one.
Madfriars.com Assessment: Nelson Wolff Stadium makes PETCO look like Coors Field, so he will certainly have his work cut out for him in San Antonio. With Brian Giles contract up in 2010, he could get first crack at a starting outfield spot on the big team.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-0, 200-pounds
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego, 2007 ninth-round
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS | |
| FW | 9-6 | 3.19 | 118 | 100/32 | 114 | 64 | 42 | |
| LE | 0-0 | 27.00 | 1 | 0/1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | |
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| Pelzer at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: Not the biggest guy in the world, making his durability a question mark. His innings were limited last year after not throwing a lot the season before - his stamina remains unknown.
Projection: High - In college he threw a little harder but has sacrificed velocity for movement. The changeup has come along quickly and his slider can be dominant. The changeup has to take the next step.
Madfriars.com Assessment: Pelzer will be a big part of what will be the Padres' best staff in the minors in 2009 at Lake Elsinore. If he can continue to keep everything down with movement, he may have the best year of any prospect.
Position: LF
Height/Weight: 6-foot-1, 200-pounds
Age: 23
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego, 2006 second-round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| SA | .284 | .383 | .419 | 504 | 124 | 67/83 | 40 | 9 |
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| Huffman at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: Power, power and more power. He a corner outfielder and is going to have to post at least a slugging percentage in the mid-.500's to have a realistic shot at the starting job in left field, especially with Kulbacki in the picture.
Projection: Medium - A very polished hitter with extremely good plate discipline. Playing in Portland will give him his best chance to show the power numbers that he produced in Eugene and Lake Elsinore.
Madfriars.com Assessment: Getting out of San Antonio should be the best thing for him, and he, along with Blanks, could be devastating power combination for Portland. The question is will he show enough power to force his way into San Diego in 2010?
Position: 2B
Height/Weight: 6-foot-0, 210-pounds
Age: 23
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego, 2006 first-round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| POR | .215 | .335 | .322 | 527 | 97 | 56/89 | 30 | 7 |
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| Antonelli at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: The 2008 season. Additionally, many are still unsure about his defensive ability at second.
Projection: High - As stated above, he is still one of the better athletes in the Padres' system, and if he can recapture the form he showed in 2007, he's everything the team wants in a middle infielder.
Madfriars.com Assessment: He's not going to compete for a starting job in San Diego out of spring training or, in all probability, in 2009. He is still the Padres second baseman of the future, but he also needs at least three to four solid months of production in Portland before even becoming part of that discussion.
Position: SS/2B
Height/Weight: 5-foot-10, 170-pounds
Age: 20
Bats/Throws: L/R
How Acquired: San Diego, supplemental first-round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| FW | .286 | .348 | .350 | 223 | 59 | 17/24 | 10 | 1 |
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| Cumberland at Instructs in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: The big question is whether he has the arm to stay at shortstop, but right now, the Padres believe that he does.
Projection: High - The Padres think that he has just touched the surface of his overall ability. One of the better athletes in the Padres system, he turned down a scholarship to Florida State as a defensive back. His speed can be game-changing.
Madfriars.com Assessment: He should begin the year in Lake Elsinore alternating with Lance Zawadzki between second and third. The speed of the Cal League infields should really benefit his offensive game and with another year of getting stronger we could see more gap shots.
Position: 3B
Height/Weight: 6-foot-2, 195-pounds
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego, 2008 second-round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| EUG | .373 | .462 | .582 | 78 | 25 | 11/12 | 9 | 2 |
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| Darnell at Instructs in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: Not everyone believes he has the hands and the footwork to be able to stay at third base. He also had trouble adjusting to better breaking balls.
Projection: High - Darnell is one of the better athletes in the system and could develop into a monster at the plate as he adds more strength. His lower body is impressively built and adds power to his swing.
Madfriars.com Assessment: All indications are the Padres will start him in Lake Elsinore, and he could have a big year at the plate, although playing third base at the Diamond could be a real adventure defensively.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-3, 220-pounds
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego 2006 26th Round (Draft and Follow)
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS | |
| FW | 8-9 | 4.28 | 136.2 | 158/24 | 151 | 78 | 65 | |
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| McBryde at Instructs in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: Trying to throw nothing but his fastball. He did that for the first half in Fort Wayne, and if he does it in the California League, he'll get crunched.
Projection: High - There are simply not that many pitchers with McBryde's arm in baseball, let alone the system. The whole key to him is mixing his pitches and varying speeds.
Madfriars.com Assessment: McBryde was much better in the second half than the first with Fort Wayne, becoming much more of a pitcher as his ERA went from 4.95 to 3.81. The California League is a brutal place for any pitcher, but as McBryde continues to find out, the more he continues to refine his talent, or throw something other than as hard as he can every pitch, the better numbers he will put up.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-3, 200-pounds
Age: 24
Bats/Throws: L/L
How Acquired: San Diego, 2006 second-round
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS | |
| POR | 11-9 | 5.32 | 139 | 139/42 | 136 | 85 | 82 | |
| SD | 1-3 | 8.02 | 21 | 14/15 | 29 | 19 | 19 | |
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| LeBlanc at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: His best pitch after his changeup is a four-seam fastball that he can place wherever he chooses, but when it comes in at the mid- to high-80s, there is a little margin for error.
Projection: Medium - If he can consistently throw his two-seam fastball for strikes, LeBlanc is a solid number four and possibly number three starter in the majors.
Madfriars.com Assessment: When LeBlanc can command the two-seamer, he's very tough, when he doesn't, it's going to be a short outing. He has a decent curveball, but LeBlanc's future success will depend upon his ability to command the two-seamer to get into counts where he can throw the changeup.
Position: CF/LF
Height/Weight: 6-foot-2, 215-pounds
Age: 26
Bats/Throws: L/L
How Acquired: San Diego, 2005 seventh-round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| POR | .292 | .361 | .464 | 486 | 129 | 44/103 | 44 | 14 |
| SD | .264 | .339 | .391 | 125 | 29 | 13/21 | 8 | 2 |
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| Venable at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: Many are still unsure if he has the ability to play center or hit with enough power to be a corner outfielder.
Projection: The guesswork is tiring. Every year he improves more than anyone should be allowed.
Madfriars.com Assessment: Of the September call-ups, Venable looked the best of any of the regular everyday players. Each year, the Padres' have seen significant improvement in his game. San Diego likes his athleticism and intelligence, He has a chance to be in PETCO for Opening Day.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-5, 205-pounds
Age: 21
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego, Signed out of Dominican Republic, 2006
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS | |
| EUG | 2-3 | 3.99 | 65 | 64/29 | 54 | 35 | 29 | |
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| Castro at Instructs in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: He's always had some problems with his control and the development of his secondary pitches, but progress is being made and he is very young.
Projection: High - Castro could develop into a #2 or #3 starter and could become one of San Diego's first success stories out of the Dominican Republic. He has learned English rapidly and has really come a long way since coming stateside.
Madfriars.com Assessment: He'll begin the year in Fort Wayne, a full season league, which will mean a lot more innings and much better hitters. The Padres will take their time with Castro, but so far he's right on track.
Position: Starting Pitcher/Relief Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-4, 210-pounds
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: 2008, Acquired by San Diego via Rule 5 Draft, December, 2008
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS | |
| Tampa | 8-13 | 4.36 | 149 | 109/46 | 168 | 81 | 72 | |
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| Nova at the Yankees Dominican Instructional League. |
Negatives: While he has fastball velocity, he is not necessarily a strikeout pitcher. Nova has trouble putting hitters away and isn't adept at expanding the zone. He also suffers from mental lapses in concentration.
Projection: High - The Padres are hoping to "hide" Nova on the 25-man roster this season, giving him garbage innings. They believe he has the ceiling of a number two starting pitcher. He has three plus pitches but is erratic with placement. If he gains commands of his offerings, Nova could be a steal in years to come.
Madfriars.com Assessment: A ground ball pitcher that misses down in the zone, Nova won't get taken deep often. There is some concern over his drop in velocity this spring, but a plus curveball and plus changeup remain in his arsenal.
Position: Centerfield
Height/Weight: 5-foot-11, 170-pounds
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: L/R
How Acquired: San Diego, 2008 third-round
| Affiliate | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | PA | HITS | BB/K | XBH | HR |
| Eugene | .285 | .379 | .456 | 220 | 55 | 27/45 | 31 | 6 |
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| Tekotte at Instructs in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: A 'wrap' in his swing takes away from his ability to make consistent contact on pitches inside but is correctable. He is raw in the running game and needs to show marked improvement. Also, if he is going to make it, it will be in center, and right now that is shaping up as a crowded place.
Projection: Medium - Lake Elsinore will give him the best opportunity to show the full extent of his game, as a left-handed hitter with speed.
Madfriars.com Assessment: He was the MVP of the Padres Instructional League and has the inside shot to jump a league and be in center field for the Storm. He could put up some big numbers in the desert and will add to the team's substantial depth of center fielders.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-4, 190-pounds
Age: 23
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: San Diego, 2005 37th-round (Draft and Follow)
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS |
| LE | 10-7 | 6.10 | 134 | 100/46 | 172 | 103 | 91 |
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| Drew Miller at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: He has a very good fastball but tends to throw it right down the middle of the plate to go along with an unwillingness to pitch inside. He has quality secondary pitches but needs to use them more.
Projection: High - The good news is he made 26 starts, which showed he could pitch a full season. The biggest adjustments that he needs to make are mental; the tools are there.
Madfriars.com Assessment: He should start the year in San Antonio, which is by far the best pitcher's park in the organization. If we are going to see his performance equal his potential, this should be the place.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-1, 185-pounds
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: B/L
How Acquired: Acquired by San Diego for Scott Linebrink
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS |
| SA | 7-7 | 3.82 | 130 | 108/37 | 123 | 59 | 55 |
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| Garrison at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: How well he will come back from shoulder surgery is a big question mark. Also, does he have enough "stuff" to be a major league starter.
Projection: Low - This is not a knock, but no one is projecting Garrison to suddenly put on 20-pounds and dramatically increase his velocity. Additionally, his injury makes forecasting his future a guess at best.
Madfriars.com Assessment: No one is sure when he'll be able to return after shoulder surgery. He should be back in San Antonio and hopefully pick up where he left off.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-0, 200-pounds
Age: 22
Bats/Throws: R/R
How Acquired: Acquired by San Diego for Scott Linebrink
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS |
| SA | 9-8 | 3.52 | 135 | 140/71 | 119 | 67 | 53 |
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| Inman at Spring Training in Peoria, Arizona. |
Negatives: His control problems are mainly generated by an inconsistent arm slot which causes problems not only with location but velocity as well.
Projection: Medium - He's very young for the league and this was his first year where he experienced problems with walks. If he can maintain a consistent arm slot, it will improve his velocity and control, giving him a chance to become a back of the rotation major league starter.
Madfriars.com Assessment: He could start the year in Portland, but a return trip to San Antonio is more likely. There are some who believe he will see success as a reliever. The Padres will give him every chance to continue starting.
Position: Starting Pitcher
Height/Weight: 6-foot-3, 190-pounds
Age: 25
How Acquired: San Diego, 2005 third-round
| Affiliate | W-L | ERA | IP | K/BB | HITS | RUNS | EARNED RUNS |
| Portland | 8-9 | 4.54 | 167 | 107/45 | 187 | 95 | 84 |
| San Diego | 2-1 | 2.67 | 27 | 16/9 | 29 | 8 | 8 |
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| Geer poses for a picture. |
Negatives: While Geer does have a very good sinker he has a very small margin of error, especially when he gets the ball up.
Projection: Low - Geer believes that he may be able to add a few ticks of velocity onto his fastball, but he is pretty much a finished product physically.
Madfriars.com Assessment: Everyone has a different opinion on Geer. Some believe he can become an effective innings eater. Others see him as the second coming of Mike Thompson and Jack Cassel. If he's healthy, he will have a great opportunity to settle the debate once and for all by occupying one of the five slots in San Diego, based on a very good major league debut last year. The key for him is continuing to throw to both sides of the plate, improving his changeup and keeping the ball down.
| First Base: Blanks (3) | Second Base: Antonelli (8) |
| Third Base: Darnell (10) | Catcher: None |
| Shortstop: Cumberland (9) | |
| Center Field: Hunter (1), Venable (12), Tekotte (16) | |
| Right Field: Decker (2), Kulbacki (5) | Left Field: Huffman (7) |
| Starter/RHP: Latos (4), Pelzer (6), McBryde (11), Castro (14), Miller (17), Geer (20) | |
| Starter/LHP: LeBlanc (13), Garrison (18) | |
| Relief/Starter: Nova (15), Inman (19) | |



















