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Toolshed: Prospect projections gone wrong

Steamer couldn't quite predict big seasons for Judge, Bellinger
October 6, 2017

Earlier this week we covered what went right. Now it's time for what went wrong. Toolshed once again revisits the Steamer600 projections used during's preseason Prospect Projections series, which looked at how prospective rookies would perform during the 2017 season if given 600 plate appearances for position players, 450 plate

Top-100 prospects on MLB Opening Day rosters

Breaking down best- and worst-case scenarios for brightest stars
April 3, 2017

Enough speculation. Enough talk. Enough training. It's time for The Show.After an offseason filled with wonder about who would wind up where, 11 of's top-100 prospects will begin the 2017 season on a Major League 25-man roster. This isn't an inexperienced group, however. Reds lefty Amir Garrett is the

Toolshed: Recipe for Rookie of the Year

What the award's last 20 recipients mean for 2017's contenders
March 31, 2017

So you want to be Rookie of the Year?Well, we hate to break the news, but unless you're one of a handful of the game's top prospects close to the Majors -- or your name is Henry Rowengartner -- it isn't likely in the cards.As Opening Day rolls ever closer,

Padres Prospect Primer: Trades bearing fruit

Acquisitions such as Espinoza, Margot headline rapid rebuild
March 29, 2017

Some players are on the verge of stardom, others are entering a crucial phase of their development and still others are getting their first tastes of full-season ball. With the 2017 season approaching, takes a look at the most intriguing prospects from each MLB organization.Shining star: Anderson Espinoza, RHPThe

System Rankings: Position players (20-11)

Indians' Mejia, Zimmer bring more hope to Cleveland; Moncada prized
February 22, 2017

With Spring Training under way and the 2017 season almost upon us, looks at the state of all 30 farm systems over the next couple weeks and ranks them, according to certain changing criterion with each edition. This opening edition focuses specifically on position player prospects and considers the

2017 Prospect Projections: NL West rookies

Rockies' Hoffman has reasons for hope despite early MLB struggles
February 14, 2017

This is the final installment of a six-part series that uses FanGraphs' Steamer600 projections to look at how prospects would fare over a full Major League season. The system bases its forecast on 600 plate appearances for position players, 450 plate appearances for catchers, 200 innings for starting pitchers and 65 innings