Answering your Top 100 Prospects list questions
MLB Pipeline released its new Top 100 Prospects list on Friday, and it was met with a bevy of questions and comments about fans' favorite prospects. To help make sense of all the inquiries, Pipeline's Jonathan Mayo took to Reddit and responded to fan questions in a Top 100 Prospect-focused
MLB Pipeline released its new Top 100 Prospects list on Friday, and it was met with a bevy of questions and comments about fans' favorite prospects.
To help make sense of all the inquiries, Pipeline's Jonathan Mayo took to Reddit and responded to fan questions in a Top 100 Prospect-focused AMA.
Here are some of the best questions and answers from Monday's discussion.
Some questions and answers have been edited for clarity.
Q: How do you distinguish between a prospect taking a massive leap and a prospect just having a good season? For every Kristian Campbell, I imagine there’s a number of guys with a .900 OPS who didn’t boost their stock too much. Would love to hear how you guys determine if a prospect’s improvements will stick or are just smoke and mirrors.
Mayo: There is a very fine line (and often blurry) between guys who are just performing well and guys who are really clicking, and are thus worthy of jumping up rankings. Obviously, Campbell is an outlier in just how far, and how quickly, it happened. It's not just because he had a high OPS. It's that he did it across three levels, at such a young age, combined with the reports we were getting on how he was doing it. He always had really good contact skills and when we got reports of how the Red Sox worked with him on his bat speed, strength and bat path, we knew this wasn't just a guy having a good year. The proverbial light went on and he kept getting better as he moved up the ladder.
Q: Which prospects out of the 100 list that did not have a good 2024, you really like and think it can have a successful MLB career?
Mayo: I'm still bullish on Druw Jones. It's not like he had a truly bad year in 2024, with a .275/.409/.405 line in what was really his first full season. He played just 41 games in 2023, and none after signing in 2022 after being the No. 2 overall pick, so I think we have to give Andruw's kid a little slack here. There's still a lot of work to be done on his offensive impact and his swing decisions, but he'll be only 21 for all of the 2025 season. I think this is a big year for him and I expect a big step forward, assuming he can stay healthy.
Q: I feel like Coby Mayo is a top 10 prospect, and he’s being a little underrated at No. 14. Did you avoid putting him higher to avoid accusations of Mayo Bias™?
Mayo: Oooh, The Mayo Bias ... I should look into trademarking that, great idea. And yes, there would be a lot of strife at home if we didn't rank him high enough. We did have him up at No. 8 at the end of 2024, and him being at 14 was more about guys who we felt, after getting feedback from the industry (team execs), belonged ahead of him. The power is definitely legit and he's going to hit, but most think he's going to be a first baseman (despite that easily plus arm), so it's a bit of a more limited profile as a R-R first baseman, though we think he's going to hit enough for that spot.
Q: Was wondering if there were any Nationals you could potentially see jumping into the Top 100 as the season goes on? Some who might fit what you're looking for to make the list but needs to have a solid start in 2025 to justify it.
Mayo: Quick shout out to Sam Dykstra, who does our Nats' Top 30, but I'll take a stab at this. I'll pick LHP Alex Clemmey, who the Nats got from the Guardians. The stuff is very good, he just needs to improve the command piece. He's 6-foot-6 and only 19 so he has time to figure it out. We put him at the end of our Top 10 LHP prospects for a reason. If he starts finding the zone, he has Top 100 pure stuff for sure.
Q: Do Zyhir Hope and Josue De Paula have #1 prospect upside?
Mayo: In a word: Yes. Hope has such exciting tools, with an idea of what he's doing at the plate. Boy, was he exciting in the AFL showing off what he could do in all areas of the game. His five-tool potential could easily land him at the top. And De Paula has the chance to be the kind of offensive performer in the outfield where it's easy to dream on him being in the Roman Anthony, Dylan Crews, Walker Jenkins, Max Clark neck of the Top 100.
Q: Best guess on one of the prospects listed in 2026, 2027, or 2028 ETA that could make their way to the big leagues this year?
Mayo: I'll cherry-pick from the top -- Walker Jenkins could very easily take off with a healthy season and end up in Minnesota later this year. Then there are the 2024 first-round-picks at 1B -- both Jac Caglianone and Nick Kurtz could find their way to the Royals and A's in less than a full season of pro ball. In terms of 2027s... maybe I could see Kevin McGonigle's hit tool putting him on a fast track with the Tigers or maybe things really clicking for someone super-toolsy like Hope of the Dodgers (less likely). As for 2028... nope, won't go that far.
Q: What do you think the outlook is for Matt Shaw, can he be a legit 3B or is this a temporary option and he will need to be a 2B long term?
Mayo: Clearly, the Cubs think he has a chance to play third, but the jury is still out. If you watched our Top 100 show, the consensus on there was that he's better suited for second, mostly because of his arm. But he's athletic, quick and has fast hands, so I think he'll be good enough to play there for the time being. He's got such a high baseball IQ and work ethic, that he's going to put in the time to be solid enough at the big league level. With Nico Hoerner at 2B, it's Shaw's ticket to the big leagues and the offseason trade of Isaac Paredes to get Kyle Tucker made it clear to most of us that the Cubs want to give Shaw every opportunity at the hot corner.
Q: Could you talk about how you approach ranking someone like Jesus Made, who can back up his great results with plate discipline and contact quality far beyond his age and seemingly has every tool needed, but has only done it against DSL opposition so far. If he repeats it in A-ball this year, will he be the #1 prospect in baseball?
Mayo: Is this Sam Dykstra's burner account? He LOVES Made. And there's a lot to like. Yes, you don't want to put too much stock into a DSL performance because that rookie circuit is always hitter-friendly. You mention some of the underlying stuff that makes him stand out already and when you combine that with the fact the Brewers love what they've seen so far and it's talked about that Made has a better approach than Jackson Chourio did during his debut, and we all saw how that turned out. So yes, if Made does what we think he'll do in full-season ball, I could see him at, or near the top of the list in a year or two.
Q: What do you make of Harry Ford at this point? He hasn't really moved up in a lot of the prospect rankings that have come out recently.
Mayo: Sir Harry Ford is becoming a bit of an enigma, isn't he? Interesting that he started to see some time in the outfield last year as I think he has work to do on his receiving (which he is VERY committed to doing) and Cal Raleigh is in the big leagues. There are offensive traits to still love, which is why he still ranks high, but he hasn't put up the numbers to match them .... yet. Remember, he's been very young for the level, while handling catching chores. I think he could break out this year.
📩 SUBSCRIBE TO THE BASEBALL TRAVELER NEWSLETTER
Q: Why is it that a Japanese player posting from the NPB and following a free agent process is allowed to be listed on a Top 100 prospects list that can directly influence the drafting of whatever team signs them? The obvious example here is the Roki Sasaki posting, signing with the Dodgers who are already a front-runner and making the Top 100 list which then makes the Dodgers eligible for a PPI pick.
It just seems like a very "have your cake, eat it, then eat the other guy's cake too" moment. Shouldn't MLB-level talent coming from an established baseball league, that follows a normal free agent process, be ineligible to be on a Top 100 Prospects list or even ineligible to be a rookie?
Mayo: This gets talked about a lot, and I get it. Since MLB instituted the international bonus pool rules, we've used them to guide us in terms of ranking guys like Sasaki who come to play here. And since Sasaki was beholden to those rules -- he was limited to what he could sign for coming over -- we rank him. Is it imperfect and somewhat arbitrary? Sure, but I think it's as good a line to draw as any. Sasaki (and Ohtani before him) get ranked, while someone like Ichiro back in the day or, more recently, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, do not get ranked because they were full-on free agents and could sign for whatever they wanted/go to the highest bidder.
Jonathan Mayo is a reporter for MLBPipeline.com. Follow him on Facebook and @JonathanMayo, and listen to him on the weekly MLB Pipeline Podcast.
Brendan Samson is a contributor to MLB.com.
Wichita Drops Second Straight Versus Tulsa
WICHITA, Kan. (May 29, 2025)—John Klein strikes out eight batters as the Wichita Wind Surge come up short 4-3 against the Tulsa Drillers at Equity Bank Park. After putting the game within a run after a three-run fifth, the Wind Surge did not score the rest of the night in
Wind Surge Stall In Slugfest With Drillers
WICHITA, Kan. (May 28, 2025)—Rubel Cespedes laced a three-run single as the Wichita Wind Surge went down swinging 10-7 against the Tulsa Drillers at Equity Bank Park. All seven Wind Surge runs came in the fourth inning, with the Drillers putting up three runs in the top of the tenth
Wichita Open Series With Rout Of Tulsa
WICHITA, Kan. (May 27, 2025)—Kyler Fedko went 4-for-5 with two home runs and four RBIs in an 11-0 victory for the Wichita Wind Surge over the Tulsa Drillers at Equity Bank Park. Wichita scores double-digit runs for the sixth time in 2025 as a part of their fourth shutout of
Wind Surge Come Up Short Versus Missions
SAN ANTONIO, Texas (May 25, 2025)—Aaron Sabato hit his second home run of the series as the Wichita Wind Surge lost 3-2 in the series finale to the San Antonio Missions at Nelson W. Wolff Municipal Stadium. A pair of unanswered runs scored on errors for San Antonio to tie
Wichita Loses Third In A Row Against San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO, Texas (May 24, 2025)—Christian MacLeod threw four innings of one-hit baseball as the Wichita Wind Surge fell 5-2 to the San Antonio Missions at Nelson W. Wolff Municipal Stadium. After bringing home a pair of runs in the top of the sixth, a San Antonio five-run bottom half
Wind Surge Drop Second Straight Against Missions
SAN ANTONIO, Texas (May 23, 2025)—Darren Bowen threw five no-hit innings as the Wichita Wind Surge lost 2-1 to the San Antonio Missions at Nelson W. Wolff Municipal Stadium. Wind Surge batters Rubel Cespedes and Andrew Cossetti also hit a triple each in Friday night’s contest in the Alamo City.
Wichita Edged Out By San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO, Texas (May 22, 2025)—Aaron Sabato homered as the Wichita Wind Surge dropped a close 2-1 ballgame to the San Antonio Missions at Nelson W. Wolff Municipal Stadium. While Wichita put the tying run in scoring position in the top of the ninth, it wasn’t enough to tie the
Wind Surge Even Series Over The Missions
SAN ANTONIO, Texas (May 21, 2025)—Andrew Cossetti drove in a pair of runs in a 6-4 win for the Wichita Wind Surge, who never trailed the San Antonio Missions at Nelson W. Wolff Municipal Stadium. The series is now tied up at a game apiece in the Texas League interdivisional
Wichita Walked Off In San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO, Texas (May 20, 2025)—Kyler Fedko hit a 3-RBI double as the Wichita Wind Surge fell 5-4 in walk-off fashion in the series opener against the San Antonio Missions at Nelson W. Wolff Municipal Stadium. Marcos Castañon singled up the middle to score Romeo Sanabria in the bottom of
Wind Surge Reclaims First Place In Texas League North In Shootout With Travelers
WICHITA, Kan. (May 18, 2025)—Jorel Ortega homered twice and the first seven Wind Surge hitters all reached and scored in the seventh inning of a 15-7 victory over the Arkansas Travelers at Equity Bank Park. The Wind Surge scored multiple runs in three different innings along the way to their
Carson McCusker Crushes Along The Way To Become The 37th Wind Surge Player Promoted To MLB
WICHITA, Kan. (May 18, 2025)—Carson McCusker becomes the 37th Wichita Wind Surge player to receive a promotion to Major League Baseball with the Minnesota Twins. The 26-year-old will join the Twins for today’s series finale on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers at 1:10 PM. Coincidentally, McCusker was a 26th-round
Wichita Barrage Arkansas With Three Home Runs In Rout
WICHITA, Kan. (May 17, 2025)—Andrew Cossetti, Kyler Fedko, and Tanner Schobel all hit home runs in an 11-2 Wichita Wind Surge victory over the Arkansas Travelers at Equity Bank Park. The Wind Surge scored nine unanswered runs between the fifth and eighth innings. Victor Labrada homered on the game’s first
Wind Surge Lose Second Straight Against Travelers
WICHITA, Kan. (May 16, 2025)—Kyler Fedko hit his sixth long ball of the season for the Wichita Wind Surge in a 10-4 loss to the Arkansas Travelers at Equity Bank Park. In another back-and-forth scoring game, Arkansas pulled away with a four-run seventh inning to secure at least a series
Wichita Drops Third Game Of Series To Arkansas
WICHITA, Kan. (May 15, 2025)—Aaron Rozek amounted six strikeouts in a 5-3 loss by the Wichita Wind Surge against the Arkansas Travelers at Equity Bank Park. While showing signs of life by tying the game twice, a ninth inning home run provided the difference for Arkansas, as the first three
Wind Surge Equalize Series With Travelers In High-Scoring Affair
WICHITA, Kan. (May 14, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge triumphed 11-9 over the Arkansas Travelers at Equity Bank Park. In a back-and-forth game, the Wind Surge scored four runs in two separate innings to even the series. Jared Sundstrom scored two on a double to left after the first three Arkansas
Wichita Swiped By Arkansas In Series Opener
WICHITA, Kan. (May 13, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge lose the series opener 6-5 to the Arkansas Travelers at Equity Bank Park. Four runs came in for the Travelers over the eighth and ninth innings as they swipe the first game of the series away from the Wind Surge. Wichita struck
Wind Surge Win Fourth Straight Game, Take Series Over Naturals
SPRINGDALE, Ark. (May 11, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge won 6-4 against the Northwest Arkansas Naturals on Mother’s Day at Arvest Ballpark. After a tie game reached the ninth inning, the Wind Surge pulled away by scoring three runs to clinch a series victory. Jac Caglianone tallied his Texas League-leading 37th
Wichita Rallies Late For Third Straight Victory Over Northwest Arkansas
SPRINGDALE, Ark. (May 10, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge made a late comeback in their 3-1 win over the Northwest Arkansas Naturals at Arvest Ballpark. All of Wichita’s offensive support came in the eighth and ninth innings on the way to the team’s third straight win. Zeroes filled the scoreboard for
Wind Surge Use Power To Their Advantage, Take Second Straight Over Naturals
SPRINGDALE, Ark. (May 9, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge hit a pair of home runs on the way to a 5-3 win over the Northwest Arkansas Naturals at Arvest Ballpark. Despite trailing 3-0 entering the seventh, five runs crossed the plate on a pair of long balls to provide the difference
Wichita Scores Four In The First Inning In Close Win Over Northwest Arkansas
SPRINGDALE, Ark. (May 8, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge took their first win of the series by a 5-3 final over the Northwest Arkansas Naturals at Arvest Ballpark. After tallying four runs in the first, the Wind Surge got out of multiple late high-pressure situations to secure the victory. Wichita tagged
Wind Surge Lose In Extras To Naturals
SPRINGDALE, Ark. (May 7, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge lost 6-5 in 10 innings to the Northwest Arkansas Naturals at Arvest Ballpark. After scoring four runs over the game’s opening two frames, the Naturals scored twice each in the seventh, ninth, and tenth innings for their second straight win in the
Wichita Clipped In Series Opener By Northwest Arkansas
SPRINGDALE, Ark. (May 6, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge got squeezed past 5-4 by the Northwest Arkansas Naturals at Arvest Ballpark. A pair of Jac Caglianone home runs yielded by the Wind Surge provided the difference in the early Tuesday contest. Tanner Schobel opened the game by reaching on an infield
Wind Surge Drop Series Finale To RoughRiders
FRISCO, Texas (May 4, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge fell 6-1 to the Frisco RoughRiders in the series finale at Riders Field. The RoughRiders pulled away with four unanswered runs over the final few innings to notch their third straight win and a series split. Keyber Rodriguez lined a comebacker that
Wichita Falls To Frisco
FRISCO, Texas (May 3, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge dropped a 5-2 contest to the Frisco RoughRiders at Riders Field. After Frisco scored four straight runs over the first three innings, the Wind Surge could not find a consistent answer to work back into the game. The trio of Michael Martinez,
Wind Surge Cede To RoughRiders
FRISCO, Texas (May 2, 2025)—The Wichita Wind Surge came up short 3-2 against the Frisco RoughRiders at Riders Field. After putting the tying run on base down to their final out, Wichita falls for the first time this series in a close contest. One of the primary factors that kept